Theory of Superstitious and Magical Beliefs

Lindeman M, Aarnio K. Superstitious, magical, and paranormal beliefs: An integrative model. Journal of Research in Personality 2007;41:731-44.

I recently ran across this paper in the Journal of Research In Personality which had some interesting things to say about how people come to have beliefs in superstitions or paranormal phenomenon. This is relevant to the issue of alternative medicine both directly, since so many alternative approaches rely on vitalism or notions of magical forces (acupuncture, homeopathy, chiropractic, reiki, etc) and also since the mental mechanisms underlying false beliefs in general likely apply to many different categories of belief.

I have said many times that I do not think false beliefs in medicine, even in the wackiest and most ridiculous ideas, have any consistent relationship to how smart people are, and only a tenuous relationship to an individual’s level of education. There are mistakes we all make in thinking that lead us to erroneous conclusions, and there is a whole literature in the field of psychology which examines these. It is clear that such mistakes are built into how we think, into the very structure of our brains, and the reason science works better than the alternative epistemological approaches is because it does a pretty good job of taking our subjective judgments, and their weakness, out of the assessment of efficacy for medical therapies.

This article tries to create a “unified theory” of superstition, and then does some preliminary testing of subjects identified in previous research as unusually skeptical or superstitious. Such research is itself fraught with subjectivity, so I am always a bit suspicious of it, but I find the theorizing an interesting and potentially useful way of looking at the problem of magical beliefs.

The authors contend that research in child development has identified some core beliefs about the world that are intuitive and nearly universal. These beliefs concern physics, psychology, and to a limited extent biology. For example, young children intuitively understand kinematics, the laws which govern the motion of objects through space, and can correctly describe and predict the behavior of billiard balls and other such simple physical objects intuitively, without any conscious or rational knowledge or deliberate instruction in the relevant physics. Likewise, they intuitively understand the concepts of mind, intention, and agency, which allows them to predict the behavior of people and animals pretty well. Finally, they have some intuitive concepts, like the ideas of contagion and healing, related to biology.

These intuitive understandings are retained in adulthood, though they can be modified somewhat by rational knowledge. As grownups, we are able to understand (sometimes, anyway), the mathematics of objects in motion and able to use this knowledge to master more complex examples such as spaceships and missiles, through rational knowledge and thought. But we still pretty much catch and throw balls intuitively, using the same largely innate understanding that first appears in children. The same pattern applies to our understanding of psychology and biology, in which we retain our intuitive knowledge while modifying or supplementing, and maybe sometimes supplanting, it with rational, acquired knowledge.

The authors then suggest that the defining characteristic of superstitious beliefs is confusing the properties intuitively understood to operate in one area, such as psychology, with a different category, such as physics. So, for example, the intuitive understanding that people act in certain ways because of their intentions and beliefs is applied to inanimate objects, and so intention and purpose is ascribed to the behavior of things which do not truly have such features. Thus lightening can strike someone intentionally, as a punishment for bad behavior. Or dice can be made to roll a certain number by the power of thoughts or rituals.

Furthermore, superstitions require that this conflating of intuitive knowledge across distinct categories not be checked adequately by rational thought or knowledge. While we may fear to handle the clothing of someone who is ill, due to an intuitive understanding of the principle of contagion, if we truly belief we can “catch” cancer or a genetic disorder in this way, these beliefs become a superstition if not overridden by our rational knowledge and thought.

The pilot survey study the authors conducted looked at whether skeptical or superstitious people were more or less likely to confound properties across categories in this way, and whether one group was more or less inclined to rely on intuitive or rational knowledge. Not surprisingly, the results showed that skeptics are less likely to confuse properties from different domains and rely less on intuitive knowledge than superstitious people.

As I said, I am a bit suspicious of the objectivity and reliability of such assessments, and I am certainly not qualified to evaluate the authors’ assessment of previous research nor the methods they used in their own study. However, apart from the empirical portion of the paper, I found the theoretical discussion interesting, and I look forward to seeing if it proves useful in examining false beliefs in the area of medicine.

Posted in General | 4 Comments

Nope, Glucosamine and Chondroitin Still Don’t Work in Humans

Just one more nail in the lid that’s never coming off the coffin of glucosamine and chondroitin. Despite the ubiquity of these supplements and the innumerable testimonials for their benefits in people and in pets, the research continues to accumulate that they are nothing more than a placebo when it comes to treating arthritis pain. A new meta-analysis in the British Medical Journal looking at 10 trials with over 3800 patients followed for up to 2 years found no clinically significant affect of glucosamine or chondroitin supplementation on pain scores of joint width (a measure on cartilage degradation). Not surprisingly, industry-funded trials tended to have more positive results than independently-funded trials.

Of course, people will argue that this is not directly relevant to the use of these supplements in dogs and cats, and we should not discount their potential value in these species without similar high-quality studies. There is some truth to this, but given the limitations in resources and technical difficulties of veterinary research, the absence of any plausible reason to think that these products might perform better in animals than in humans, and the uninspiring results of the non-industry funded veterinary research on glucosamine and chondroitin so far, it would seem to be placing our bets on the long shot to put much more of our limited resources into studying these therapies.

Then again, it’s hard to find a dog, cat, or horse that isn’t already on glucosamine and chondroitin, so a cynic might ask whether the evidence really matters or not anyway. Luckily, I am an inexhaustible well of optimism about human nature, so I would never be so cynical. 🙂

Posted in Herbs and Supplements | 3 Comments

Another Study of Fish Oil for Canine Arthritis

In January, a couple of research studies were published in the Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association (JAVMA) investigating the possible usefulness of dietary fish oil supplementation for treating the symptoms of arthritis in dogs.[1-2] I have previously discussed these papers in detail, but overall they were well-designed studies with mostly negative findings. However, the few statistically significant measures seen were generously interpreted as evidence for a beneficial effect of the treatment. A more accurate interpretation would be that no clear, consistent, meaningful effect was observed. Still, the few effects that were documented would justify additional research. Ideally, this research would be conducted by different researchers since the group naturally has a bias in favor of the intervention they are studying, and a number of the authors of the JAVMA studies have institutional affiliations with the Hill’s Pet Food company which manufactures the diet with supplemental fish oil tested in the study, and this raises some possibility of a conflict of interest. 

However, the same research group has now published another study looking at fish oils as a treatment for canine arthritis, this time in the Journal of Veterinary Internal Medicine.[3] This study was specifically designed to look for effects of varying levels of fish oil supplementation on subjective measures of arthritis.

A Bad Beginning
My first concern about this study is the background statement and introduction, which begin with the claim that “Food supplemented with fish oil improves clinical signs and weight bearing in dogs with osteoarthritis (OA).” The evidentiary support for this claim is twofold. First, it is supported by reference to findings in humans that fish oils may improve the symptoms of rheumatoid arthritis. There is some limited evidence that this may be the case (c.f. literature summaries available from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and Medline), however even if this were established, the relevance is questionable since this is a different disease in a different species. The authors acknowledge that “the pathophysiology of rheumatoid arthritis and OA differ,” but they let stand the implication that since both are inflammatory conditions, if fish oil helps one it might help the other. Plausible but very weak reasoning.

The second major pillar of support for the a priori claim that fish oils are proven effective as a treatment for canine arthritis is, you guessed it, the two previous papers published by the same group in JAVMA. Obviously, given my review of these papers, I don’t consider that claim to be justified by those studies. So this study begins with the assumption the treatment works, and the hypothesis is then examined that since some helps more might help even more.  Shaky ground to start from.

The Study
As with the previous work, the study was soundly designed. 212 dogs were randomly assigned to eat one of three diets with different levels of fish oils but relatively comparable otherwise. The diet with the lowest level of fish oil (Diet A) was the same as used in the previous studies, approximately 0.8% EPA+DHA on a dry matter basis. Diet B had ~ 2% of the fish oils, and Diet C about 2.9%. There was no negative control (diet without supplemental fish oils).

Subjects were allowed to use concurrent therapies, including NSAIDs and glucosamine, but no overall statistically significant difference in the rate of such usage was found between the groups of patients on the different diets. Dropout rates were moderate and higher for Food A than the other two foods (Food A-22%, Food B-13%, Food C-17%). The authors state that the inclusion evaluation data from dogs that did not complete the study did not affect the results. Owners and participating veterinarians were blinded to the treatment individual dogs were assigned to.

The assessment measures included a series of subjective physical examination parameters assessed by participating veterinarians similar to those used by the participating veterinarians in the previous studies. These were performed on Days 0, 21, 45, and 90 of the study. Two new variables were included, which were general questions the participating vets were asked at the conclusion of the study:

A. “Based on the pet owner’s input and your own clinical assessment, how would you describe the impact the study food has had on this dog’s arthritic condition?”
1. significantly slowed progression of the arthritis
2. slightly slowed progression of the arthritis
3. no effect
4. slightly accelerated progression of the arthritis
5. significantly progression of the arthritis

B. “Based on the pet owner’s input and your own clinical assessment, how has the arthritic condition of this dog changed since eating the study food?”
1. extreme improvement
2. moderate improvement
3. slight improvement
4. no change
5. slight deterioration
6. moderate deterioration
7. extreme deterioration

The authors also measured the blood levels of a variety of omega-3 and omega-6 fatty acids for all subjects.

The Results
Serum levels of omega 3 fatty acids increased significantly more for Foods B and C than for Food A, showing that greater levels in the food correlates with greater levels in the actual animal. Some omega 6 fatty acid levels were significantly lower in subjects eating Foods B and C, others were not.

In terms of the 5 clinical evaluations done by participating veterinarians, all improved significantly over time for all diets except that the score for weight bearing did not improve for Food A. Of the 5 measures, 2 improved more for Food C than for Food A, and there was no difference between Food B and Food A.

For the two subjective questions asked of the participating veterinarians, the answers showed a statistically greater improvement for Food C than for Food A, and again no difference between Foods A and B.

Sixteen adverse events were recorded, and of these 2 cases of vomiting and/or diarrhea were attributed to the intervention (one for Food A and one for Food B). What the other events were and why they were not considered related to the diets was not discussed. 

Discussion
So, do fish oils effectively treat the symptoms of canine osteoarthritis? Maybe. Improvements were seen for all foods. The measures were subjective, and the two summary questions asked of veterinarians in the study were structured in a redundant and somewhat leading way, so there are some limitations in the reliability of the conclusions based on these. Interestingly, the authors claim these results are consistent with their previous studies, but this is not entirely true. In one of the earlier studies, no veterinarian clinical examination measures improved, and only 3 out of 39 possible data points for owner evaluation improved significantly. In the other study, none of the owner evaluations changed significantly, but 3 of 5 measures evaluated by clinicians showed improvement. An objective measure, force plate gait analysis, was used in this second study, and this showed no change from baseline for any of 6 variables but a significant mean improvement for 1 of the 6 measures.

By contrast, in the current study only subjective veterinarian evaluations were used as measures of outcome, and these showed improvements in all variables for all foods. The authors point out that these improvements were “relatively modest” (aka small), but rather than attributing this to the treatment having only a modest effect, they attribute it to the insensitivity of their subjective measurement criteria. This is a bit odd since in medical research generally, subjective criteria are much more likely to show positive changes than objective criteria, even when there aren’t any real differences.

The inconsistency in the results of the various trials is a cause for concern, as it suggests the criteria for measuring any possible treatment effect may not be reliable. The trials designed to see if the treatment worked found few and inconsistent positive changes in subjective measures and almost no change in objective measures. The trial designed to see if more worked better than less found that everything worked a little, but while the difference between the diet with 0.8% fatty acid content and that with 2% was not significant for any measure, the difference between 0.8% and 2.9% was significant for 2 of 5 clinical measures and both global assessment questions asked of the participating vets. And all of this is ignoring the potential biases introduced by having all trials done by the same research group and the association with a company manufacturing a commercial food used in all of the trials.

This does not create a solid, consistent pattern of evidence to support the use of fish oils to treat canine arthritis. At best, it can be said that: the serum fatty acid level data indicates the fish oil changes the fatty acid profile of dogs in ways that would be desirable if the fish oil actually has clinically meaningful effects;  there is weak evidence to suggest there may be some such effects, though small and inconsistent; and there is little evidence of short-term harm.

All of this is useful data, of course, and generally the studies were well-conducted. However, the conclusions tend to be much stronger than is justified by the data, which is a reflection of the bias of the investigators in favor of the intervention they are researching. This is to be expected, but if a small group of researchers become the only source of clinical data on the subject, and if most vets read only the conclusions and don’t critically examine the studies and the results, it is likely to have an inappropriately large impact on clinical practices. I wouldn’t be surprised if fish oil for arthritis becomes the new glucosamine, and while I hope it turn out to work better than glucosamine does, that product had much the same kind of weak positive data from limited sources at the beginning as well, and now it has become a ubiquitous product despite subsequently stronger results suggesting it has no benefit.

References
1. Roush JK, Dodd CE, Fritsch DA, Allen TA, Jewell DE, et al. Multicenter veterinary practice assessment of the effects of omega-3 fatty acids on osteoarthritis in dogs. J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2010 Jan 1;236(1):59-66.

2. Roush JK, Cross AR, Renberg WC, Dodd CE, Sixby KA,, et al. Evaluation of the effects of dietary supplementation with fish oil omega-3 fatty acids on weight bearing in dogs with osteoarthritis. J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2010 Jan 1;236(1):63-73.

3. Fritsch D, Allen TA, Dodd CE, Jewell DE, Sixby PS, et al. Dose-titration effects of fish oil in osteoarthritis dogs. J Vet Int Med 2010;24(5):1020-26.

Posted in Herbs and Supplements | 5 Comments

Evaluating Risks and Benefits of Neutering Dogs and Cats

In response to questions from clients, and a lot of myths embedded in them, I set about last year reviewing the literature concerning the risks and benefits of neutering dogs and cats. This led to a handout for owners, which is available here. When this came out, I got some encouragement to produce a formal literature review for vets on the subject, and this has just been released in the online journal CAB Reviews. For those of you interested and with access to the journal, the article can be found here:

Evaluating the benefits and risks of neutering dogs and cats
CAB Reviews: Perspectives in Agriculture, Veterinary Science, Nutrition and Natural Resources 2010 5, No. 045

Abstract

Neutering consists of removing the source of the hormones that control reproduction and determine secondary sexual characteristics. In dogs and cats, this is most commonly accomplished by castration or ovariectomy. While the primary purpose of neutering is to prevent reproduction, the procedure may have other physical and behavioural effects.

Epidemiologic research has identified many beneficial and harmful outcomes associated with neutering. A definitively causal relationship between these outcomes and neuter status cannot be accepted without consistent evidence from multiple studies of adequate size and quality. However, consideration of the possible health consequences of these associations is warranted when offering owners recommendations concerning neutering.

An evidence-based decision about neutering a particular pet requires integrating relevant research data with the veterinarian’s clinical expertise and the needs and circumstances of the patient and owner. It is impossible to precisely predict the outcome of neutering for any individual. However, existing research does allow some generalization about the magnitude and clinical importance of specific risks and benefits. Overall, it appears justified to recommend spaying all females not intended for breeding, because the procedure is more likely to prevent rather than cause disease. In male dogs, the benefits of castration are not so clearly greater than the risks. The evidence is also mixed regarding the risks and benefits of neutering dogs before 5–6 months of age, and so no strong recommendation for or against the practice can be made. However, it is clear that spaying female dogs before their first heat is preferable to spaying them later.

Posted in Science-Based Veterinary Medicine | 21 Comments

Eureka! Latest Breakthrough in Homeopathy!

At last, I’ve figured out how to get rich and cure every disease. Writing about homeopathy yesterday got me to thinking. There is a plethora of potential homeopathic remedies not available or used by either conventional medicine or advocates of alternative medicine simply out of blind prejudice: homeopathic pharmaceuticals! Conventional doctors would reject the idea because they have an unreasonable prejudice against the notion that water can cure everything. And homeopaths would probably reject using “drugs” even though they are diluted to the point where there is nothing left but water.

But think about the possibilities! The principle of homeopathy is that whatever causes a given symptom in a proving on a healthy subject will, when diluted and shaken properly, alleviate that symptom in an ill patient. What better source of compounds that cause every imaginable symptom could there be but conventional pharmaceuticals!

Take prednisone, a much maligned steroid. At therapeutic doses in the short term, it can cause an increase in appetite, urination, and drinking. Chronic use can cause thinning of skin, muscle wasting, and infections. So dilute it, shake it and Bingo: Treats the increased urination of chronic kidney failure! Suppresses appetite for weight loss! Builds muscle strength for agility competition! Can even treat infections!

Or how about morphine? Therapeutic doses are very effective for pain but can cause nausea. So homeopathic morphine would treat nausea, but unfortunately anything over about 30C would probably cause unbearable pain!

At last, the solution to all my patients’ problems, and my student loans.

Posted in Homeopathy, Humor | 2 Comments

Care and Use of Homeopathic Remedies

It always feels a little cruel to poke fun at homeopathy since it is perilously close to self-parody already, particularly the serious and earnest way in which proponents say absurd things. As a refresher, the idea is based on a couple of ideas made up by Samuel Hahneman in the 19th century. You take something that makes you sick, or causes a particular symptom (maybe, though most “provings” are based on Hahneman or someone else swallowing something, usually diluted to the point at which there is nothing but water there, and then reporting how they feel). Anyway, then you dilute it some more (and don’t forget to shake it!) until it becomes a potent but completely safe remedy.

Even the homeopaths don’t claim there’s anything but water in most of their nostrums, but they believe the water has some “memory” of what used to be in it (but only what they put in it, not the animal poo or whatever else was in it before they got hold of it). This is often “explained” with reference to quantum physics, since almost no one really understands quantum physics well enough to recognize this as BS, and besides it sounds better than calling it “magic.”

But I recently ran across a bit of advice from the American Holistic Veterinary Medical Association that deserve a little mockery. Here is their handout on Care and Use of Homeopathic Remedies:

Care and use of homeopathic remedies 

  • Fill bottle with spring water if not already diluted
  • Store in refrigerator unless otherwise labeled 
  • Tap bottle 10-20X against palm of hand before administering .This mixes the remedies, but also increases their effectiveness  
  • Wipe off tip of dropper when done to minimize contamination. In dogs, you can squirt the remedy into the cheek pouch  
  • Do not mix in food or water if possible. (the water bowl is a possibility for single pet, difficult-to-medicate pets).Just let Dr. Lund know that you are using the remedy this way
  • Your bottle will last ~6-8 weeks, and then often start to grow a bit of mold. Pets on long term therapy will need a recheck by then anyway, and the next set of remedies is usually different

So let’s get this straight. First, you dilute the water with spring water, unless it’s already been diluted. Then store the water in the refrigerator, presumably to prevent it from spoiling. Shake the water before administering to mix it with itself and make it an even stronger medicine. Be very careful not to mix the water with any food or water, except the water you originally mixed the water with (presumably too much water would make the water dangerously strong). And don’t worry if the water grows mold despite being refrigerated, since by the time this happens it will probably be necessary to have another visit with the doctor and change to a different kind of water anyway.

Obviously, I’m not smart enough to practice this kind of medicine.

Posted in Homeopathy, Humor | 8 Comments

Vitamin Supplements- Do they prevent cancer?

Few purported medical interventions have such wide appeal or such an entrenched reputation for being benign and beneficial as vitamin supplements. Vitamins are chemicals (yes, they are, though you can call them “compounds” or even “essential nutrients” if it sounds nicer) that are required for normal health in minute quantities and cannot be made internally but must be obtained from the diet. Different species have different vitamin requirements, of course, so the defining characteristic is dependent on the organism, not the chemical. Vitamin C, for example, is a dietary requirement for primates and guinea pigs, but all other mammals can make enough on their own from other chemicals that they don’t require it in the diet, so it is not truly a vitamin for them.

Part of the reason vitamins are so widely believed to be good for us is the vague memory (at least in developed nations, though it is still ordinary reality in many parts of the world) of a time when vitamin deficiencies were common due to inadequate diets. Correcting such deficiencies has the kind of tangible, dramatic impact on health that antibiotics or polio vaccine can have, so it is easy to see such things as miraculous. And in America, where more is always better, the idea that it is a good idea to give vitamin supplements even to people with an adequate diet and no obvious signs of deficiencies is a naturally appealing one.

Unfortunately, the grim naysayers of science such as myself are often stuck with the thankless job of dispelling even appealing misconceptions, and recent editorial in the American Journal of Epidemiology has done that for some the proponents of vitamin supplements most hoped to be of benefit in preventing one of the major classes of illness that has replaced nutritional deficiencies and infectious diseases, cancer.

Byers T. Anticancer Vitamins du Jour—The ABCED’s So Far. American Journal of Epidemiology 2010;172:1–3.

The editorial surveys the history of anti-cancer vitamins from early reason for hope seen in observational and animal model studies through disappointing and often frightening clinical trials. In alphabetical order, then (citations are omitted and can be found in the full text of the article):

Vitamin A

Animal experimental models led us to the notion that cancer risk might be ‘‘materially’’ reduced by supplementation with beta-carotene, a retinol precursor. Although that idea was seductive, we were all disappointed when 2 large randomized controlled trials that began in 1985 in Finland and the United States reported an 18% increased risk of lung cancer caused by high-dose beta-carotene supplementation and a 28% increased lung cancer risk caused by a combination of beta-carotene and retinol. The vitamin A era was over. 

Vitamin B

Again, based on animal experimental evidence and supported by epidemiologic evidence of connections between diets low in B vitamins and increased cancer risk, a large randomized controlled trial was begun in 1985 in central China, where micronutrient deficiency was common and where rates of cancers of the stomach and esophagus were extraordinarily high. Nonetheless, several years of supplementation with a combination of riboflavin (vitamin B2) and niacin (vitamin B3) had no effect on incidence of upper gastrointestinal cancers. Interest in folic acid (vitamin B9) persisted, though, in part because of its striking effect on neural tube birth defects, coupled with speculation about possible benefits of food fortification for diseases such as colorectal cancer that were inversely associated with diets rich in folate-containing foods and supplements. However, a 7-year randomized controlled trial found that high-dose folic acid supplements actually increased risk of colorectal adenomas. The vitamin B era was over.

Vitamin C

Next came vitamin C, a popular charge led by none other than Linus Pauling, the brilliant and charismatic 2-time Nobel laureate. Of all the cancers thought to be related to vitamin C deficiency, gastric cancer led the way, and of all the places on Earth where a vitamin C deficiency correction trial might yield benefits for gastric cancer, Linxian, China, would be the best. Indeed, vitamin C was tested in the Linxian trial, but just as for the B vitamins, vitamin C produced no change in gastric cancer rates .

Vitamin D

Over 2 decades of searching for an anticancer vitamin, we had seemed to skip over vitamin D in its proper alphabetical sequence…the International Agency for Research on Cancer conducted a comprehensive review of the evidence for vitamin D and cancer prevention, concluding that vitamin D may play a protective role in colorectal cancer, but not for prostate cancer, and that the evidence is weak for breast cancer. The conclusion by the International Agency for Research on Cancer about the weakness of the evidence for breast cancer has been a source of controversy among vitamin D protagonists, but subsequent nested cohort studies have found no relation between breast cancer risk and circulating levels of vitamin D. Nonetheless, vitamin D remains the cancer-preventing vitamin du jour.

…An outstanding set of papers in this issue of the American Journal of Epidemiology reports on findings about the relation between circulating levels of vitamin D and subsequent cancer risk…These studies found no suggestion of an inverse association between vitamin D levels in the circulation and later incidence of 6 types of cancers (upper gastrointestinal, ovary, endometrial, pancreatic, kidney, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma)… The only association observed in this set of 6 analyses was a troubling one: that risk of pancreatic cancer was doubled for those in the highest quintile of circulating vitamin D levels.

…many ongoing randomized controlled trials are now using quite high doses of vitamin D. As we await clearer evidence of benefits from those trials, we will also need to be prepared to be vigilant about their individual and collective power to assess any potential harms.

Vitamin E

In 1993, we launched headlong into a love affair with vitamin E fueled by compelling observations that those who chose to take vitamin E supplements were at lower risk of heart disease. Vitamin E supplementation became the rage as several large, randomized controlled trials were mounted. When those results finally came in, the findings were again disappointing: vitamin E supplementation offered no benefit for heart disease, and it slightly increased overall mortality. In the meantime, though, because of a secondary observation that prostate cancer incidence was lower in the vitamin E arm of the same Finnish trial that tested beta-carotene (vitamin E had also been included as a factor), a large factorial trial of vitamin E (and selenium) was carried out for reducing prostate cancer incidence. Disappointment again: there was no effect of either selenium or vitamin E on incidence of prostate cancer. The vitamin E era ended in a whimper.

Of course, alternative medicine proponents often dispute this evidence, and it is easy to find claims of efficacy for all of these vitamins in preventing or treating cancer: Vitamin A, Vitamin B, Vitamin C, Vitamin D, Vitamin E.

Given the ease with which the evidence can be ignored, cherry-picked, or distorted, the underlying conclusion of this editorial is even more salient and important than the specifics of the failed promise of vitamin supplementation to prevent:

It is timely for us to now reflect on the history of the past 25 years of our alphabetical approach to studying single vitamin deficiency states as causal factors for cancer. We have learned some hard lessons along the alphabetical way. We now know that supernutritional levels of vitamins taken as supplements do not emulate the apparent benefits of diets high in foods that contain those vitamins, and we now know that taking vitamins in supernutritional doses can cause serious harm. In short, we have found that the reality of human biology is far more complex than is suggested by our simple ideas.

Let me emphasize again these key points:

1. Supernutritional levels of vitamins taken as supplements do not emulate the apparent benefits of diets high in foods that contain those vitamins.

 2. Taking vitamins in supernutritional doses can cause serious harm.

 3. The reality of human biology is far more complex than is suggested by our simple ideas.

Point 3 is one of the most important principles of science-based medicine. The understandable search for simple answers and the inevitability and challenges posed by complexity and uncertainty naturally drive us to accept simple, clear explanations and recommendations and make us shy away from the messiness and limitations of reality. But unfortunately we must accept that reality is more complex than our ideas, and that as a consequence we will often be wrong and our understanding and ability to control our health will always be limited and incomplete. The best chance we have of actually doing good is to strive for this acceptance and to deal with reality as it is rather than as we would wish it to be.

Alternative medicine often relies on the idea that belief is enough and that reality can be forced into our simple models of one cause/one cure for disease. Science can, and should do better, and though the process is slow, cumbersome, and often not psychologically comforting, the truth is that it just works better. 25 years of scientific research has shown us what supplementation of some vitamins can and cannot do for some diseases, and this information is worth the wait and the effort, and it will serve us better than the false hope and comfort of simplistic theories and wishful thinking.

Posted in Herbs and Supplements | 9 Comments

Another Acupuncture Study Shows It’s a Placebo

Acupuncture is one of the CAM modalities most widely accepted as scientifically proven to be effective, at least for pain and maybe nausea. Even providers skeptical of the mystical roots and language of the practice will often suggest that it might have some real benefit. Unfortunately, the bulk of the good quality clinical research in humans doesn’t support this notion. When compared with “fake” acupuncture (needles placed in non-traditional locations or depths, retractable needles that don’t actually pierce the skin, toothpicks twirled on the skin, and so on), “real” acupuncture generally gets the same results as the fake procedure; namely a small improvement in subjectively reported pain or nausea scores. There’s no question that sticking needles in people (or mice) has measurable effects on the body (releasing various chemicals, effecting pain receptor activity, and so on). This is a long way, however, from demonstrating that sticking needles in particular places and a particular way has meaningful clinical benefits (i.e., that “acupuncture works”).

The debate about the scientific evidence for acupuncture is muddled by the lack of a consistent definition for what acupuncture actually is. Many studies claiming to investigate acupuncture actually use “electroacupuncture” (a CAM pseudonym for what scientific medicine calls TENS, Transcutaneous Electrical Nerve Stimulation). This was the case for a recent set of studies in dogs, and it is also the case for a recent study in humans:

Suarez-Almazor, M., Looney, C., Liu, Y., Cox, V., Pietz, K., Marcus, D., & Street, R. (2010). A Randomized controlled trial of acupuncture for osteoarthritis of the knee: Effects of patient-provider communication Arthritis Care & Research

Orac at Respectful Insolence discusses the study in detail. In brief, it compared electroacupuncture with “fake” electroacupuncture (needles in different spots and different amount/duration of electrical stimulation) and with a no-treatment control, and it also compared these treatments between groups of patients given high expectations of success by the providers and those given neutral expectations. The results?

Not surprisingly, there was no difference between “real” and “fake” acupuncture. Both groups reported some improvements compared to the group that got no treatment, which is exactly what you’d expect if the “real” treatment was a placebo just like the “fake” treatment. What is cool about the study is that there were several measures that differed significantly between patients given high expectations and those given neutral expectations, regardless of which treatment they got. Placebo effects are well known to be greater when the fake treatment is presented with confidence by a supposedly knowledgeable professional. In this study the way the treatment was presented to the patients affected how much benefit they got from it and mattered more than which treatment they got, just as one would expect for a placebo therapy.

Of course, real therapies will also appear to be more effective for subjectively reported symptoms if the patient is given high expectations. However, since there was no difference between the effects of “real” and “fake” acupuncture, but there was a difference caused by the expectations the patients were given, the study is a nice illustration of both the fact that acupuncture is a placebo and that expectations are a key element in achieving placebo effects.

This is of particular concern to me as a veterinarian because I believe it is impossible to influence the expectations of my patients about the benefit of the treatments I give them. So unlike humans, they are unlikely to experience any benefit from placebo effects based on expectancy. Unfortunately, their owners are very likely to be influenced by a vet presents a therapy, which leads to a situation in which the client and the vet think the treatment is helping when in fact the patient feels no better. It is this placebo effect by proxy that I think keeps many ineffective CAM therapies alive and profitable in veterinary medicine, especially since the large, well-designed studies necessary to show the underlying reality about the treatments are seldom possible due to cost and practical constraints. We need to take not of such studies done in humans and recognize the implications they may or may not have for our field given the differences between humans and our patients.

Posted in Acupuncture | 13 Comments

CAM and Advance Healthcare Directives

Disclaimer: This topic strays outside my area of professional expertise, so I offer these personal musings as food for thought, not in any way as official recommendations in my role as a veterinarian.

It has become quite common these days in the United States for people to complete some form of advanced directive for health care or living will. The format and legal implications of such documents are regulated by the states and vary across the country, but in general the intent of an advanced directive is to express your wishes concerning the care you do or do not wish to receive if you are unable to make healthcare decisions for yourself, particularly in cases of terminal illness or long-term incapacitation. An advanced directive also often appoints someone to make healthcare decisions for you in accordance with the guidelines you develop in advance.

The usual subjects addressed by an advanced directive include life support care, such as mechanical ventilation and artificial nutrition, as well as palliative care such as pain control. However, it occurs to me that a common circumstance in which alternative medical therapies are employed is that in which there is no curative or definitive scientific therapy available. People reach for the implausible or the bizarre when they are desperate and unable to accept the limitations of scientific medicine or the inevitability of death. This is the kind of circumstance one might expect when someone is facing the end of life or a permanent incapacitation.

There are certainly advocates for integrating so-called complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) into hospice care for humans. And the nascent veterinary hospice movement has advocates for the use of all the usual alternative approaches as well as such truly bizarre methods such as those of pet psychics. It is difficult to know how widespread the use of CAM in the terminally ill really is, but with the growth of quackademic medicine, it seems likely that family members or other responsible agents for terminally ill or incapacitated patients who are unable to make their own healthcare choices are likely to be offered CAM therapies as part of the palliative care package.

For those of us who doubt the value, and sometimes the safety, of such approaches to medicine, it might be worthwhile to consider addressing this possibility in our advanced healthcare directives, as well as discussing it with those who are likely to be making medical decisions on our behalf should this become necessary. As the horror of the “Gonzalez Regimen” study illustrates, alternative approaches to serious disease can be more (or less) than simply ineffective. They can actively worsen the suffering of terminally ill patients. If the purpose of an advanced directive for healthcare is to protect oneself from unwanted treatment, and presumably the attendant suffering, then CAM is a group of treatments one might wish to protect oneself against.

One difficulty with addressing alternative therapies in an advanced directive would be defining them accurately enough to be useful to providers and family members making treatment decisions. Alternative medicine can be tricky to define, and one must be careful to distinguish between nonsense therapies that are either untestable or have already been falsified, and the kind of plausible therapies with limited supporting evidence that are sometimes the focus of clinical trials sought out by the terminally ill, or that are used prior to definitive scientific evidence concerning their safety and efficacy under “compassionate use” rules. The best approach might be a general definition with a list of examples, which would provide at least some guidance to decision makers. My own advanced directive contains the following statement:

I specifically refuse any treatments in the general category of “alternative medicine” which have not been validated by appropriate scientific research, including but not limited to the following: acupuncture, chiropractic, homeopathy, reiki or therapeutic touch, traditional Chinese Medicine therapies, Ayurvedic therapies, naturopathic therapies, and dietary, herbal, or nutritional therapies not supported by substantative clinical research evidence. This is not intended to exclude experimental therapies used within the context of properly regulated clinical trials or compassionate use guidelines at the discretion of my appointed healthcare agent.

This is undoubtedly an imperfect statement, and probably painfully imprecise to the ears of any lawyer, but it conveys the gist of my wishes, which is as much as such a document can be expected to accomplish.

I don’t intend to suggest that the use of CAM therapies is as pressing an issue for the terminally ill or incapacitated as questions of how intensive and prolonged life-support measures should be, or how we should palliate the discomfort of the dying. But despite the widespread presumption that such therapies are benign at worst, and possibly even beneficial regardless of the evidence, the reality is that unproven or clearly bogus alternative treatments can be harmful. They can harm patients directly, and they can provide false hope or a mistaken sense that the patient is being properly treated, which can interfere with the use of truly effective palliative therapies. In light of this, it seems worth considering the issue of CAM use when planning for the possibility that you may someday not be able to articulate your wishes concerning the care you are given.

Posted in Law, Regulation, and Politics | 3 Comments

Consumer Reports–The Dangers of Supplements

There is an article in the upcoming issue of Consumer Reports discussing the sorry state of regulatory oversight for dietary supplements, herbs, and vitamins, and some of the concrete harm that has come to consumers as a result. It is encouraging to see the mainstream media recognizing that the marketing of such supplements is full of misinformation and that there is real danger in the inadequate regulatory system currently in place.

According to the industry publication Nutrition Business Journal, Big Supplement sold $26.7 billion worth of its products last year. However, according to the relatively neutral, though perhaps sometimes a bit too charitable in its interpretation of the evidence, Natural Medicines Comprehensive Database, only about a third of the 54,000 products in the database have any scientific evidence concerning safety and efficacy. And nearly 12% (over 6000 “medicines”) have known problems with safety or quality control. This is a pointed reminder that when talking about supplements, we are not talking about natural products proven to be safe and effective and provided out of altruistic motives to people not well served by the conventional “disease industry.” We are talking about products containing chemicals with poorly understood effects on the body and products which may or may not contain what the label claims is in them. And we are also talking about large profit-making corporations capable of manipulating politicians and the law to avoid appropriate regulation of their industry and both willing and financially able to vigorously defend themselves in court against people hurt by their products.

The Consumer Reports article points out that contamination of supposedly natural supplements with toxins, such as heavy metals, and with prescription drugs, is a serious danger due to the exemption of the supplement industry from the quality control regulations the FDA applies to pharmaceutical companies and other providers of medicines and healthcare products. Many of the most harmful products and ingredients come from China, which has abysmal quality control and is not in any way under the supervision of any trustworthy regulatory or watchdog organization.

The article also gives several examples of specific products that have harmed consumers, and the complete denial of responsibility on the part of manufacturers. The notion that these companies and their products differ from the mainstream pharmaceutical industry, beyond being less effectively supervised and regulated, is belied by these kinds of problems. Even the regulations that do exist concerning such products are rarely enforced, and vigorously opposed by the supplement industry. When the FDA attempted to ban ephedra, it took years of legal maneuvering despite thousands of cases of suspected illness and death from the ingredient. This has discourage the FDA from attempting to invoke it’s regulatory authority, especially in the anti-regulation atmosphere of the last administration.

And unlike Big Pharma, for most of the time since the relevant legislation (DSHEA) was passed in 1994, Big Supplement companies haven’t even been required to report serious adverse events associated with their products to the FDA. And the reports that now come in are rarely made public. So it’s not surprising that consumers, and many health care providers, have little idea how dangerous these products can be. Of course, mainstream pharmaceuticals have their dangers, but at least we have some idea what they are and some reason to think they may have benefits which justify the risks.

The article lists an even dozen supplements to be specifically avoided due to known hazards. It also lists a number it considers safe and likely effective.  I would quibble a bit with these lists. The “bad” list is a bit arbitrary and incomplete, and it ignores the danger of the nearly complete ignorance concerning the safety and efficacy of most supplements. And the “good” list includes a couple of products (e.g. glucosamine and St. John’s Wort) which are listed as “likely effective” despite pretty clear evidence they are ineffective. But these are relatively minor objections given the vital importance of having a mainstream consumer group address the serious problems in the supplement industry and advocating for better consumer protection.

Not surprisingly, Big Supplement rejects the conclusions and advice in the article, cherry picking facts to present a misleading image of the industry as benevolent providers of safe products. Their rebuttal, weak as it is, is further undercut by the presence on the same page of a banner reading “Grassroots Victory: Congress rejects expanded FTC powers.” Clearly, despite their own propaganda, Big Supplement is as interested in protecting their prerogatives and profits as Big Pharma or any other for-profit industry. This is to be expected. What is harder to understand is why we continue to let them guard the henhouse.

Posted in General | 2 Comments